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Risks
It is imperative that before making any investment decisions,
consideration is given (with the assistance of a qualified
financial adviser) to its suitability or otherwise in
light of your particular investment needs, objectives
and financial circumstances.
There are risks associated with an investment in the
Company. The following is a brief summary of what the
Directors believe are the principal risks of an investment
in the Company.
Market Risks
There are risks associated with the Company’s investments
on the stock market, as with any investment on the stock
market. These risks may include:
- The market value of shares and other investments purchased
by the Company can fall as well as rise. Share markets
can be volatile.
- Investing in shares carries risk. Whilst it is not
possible to list all risks, these are the major risks
that may affect the Company (and therefore you) as an
investor:
- Business
Risk: This is the risk that
a company selected to invest in does not run its
business well. This poor business management can
result in the income or capital growth expectations
of the Company not being met. Business risk then
becomes financial risk – that is, the value of the
shares will drop and the Company will lose part,
or in a severe case, all of its investment in that
company.
- Credit
Risk: This is a risk if a company
defaults on its debts because debt investors rank
before share investors, and a subsequent wind-up
of the company may deteriorate shareholder value.
- Reputation
Risk: Even very well-managed
companies can face severe reputation risk for unexpected
events. The management of these events can ruin
a company’s reputation. For example, when an oil
tanker runs aground – it is usually the oil company
who faces the environmental repercussions. Any environmental,
work-place or ethical misdeeds can cause a company’s
shares to be devalued.
- Information
Risk: This is where the information
given to the portfolio manager regarding the investment
was wrong or incomplete. It may have been intentional
or unintentional.
- Market
Risk: The price of any share
has two components, the value placed on the company
shares and the value placed on the market as a whole.
When investors lose confidence in the market, the
market component of the share price will drop. Even
solid companies will see their share price drop
when investors lose confidence in the market.
- Political
Risk: This can mean that the
government is unstable. In Australia, it would mean
that there is concern over the strength of the current
government and the possibility of an election and
a new government being brought in. It can also mean
that changes in government policy will impact on
the attractiveness of the market as a whole, sectors
or specific companies. Political risk will also
impact on the currency, which in turn will affect
the ability of companies to import needed equipment
or make interest payments determined in other currencies.
- Income
Risk: While many investors
expect to receive income from their share investments,
income or any level or income is not certain.
- Liquidity
Risk: This is the risk that
when an investor wants to sell there will not be
a buyer within what the investor considers a reasonable
price range, or any buyers are not interested in
the amount of shares the investor wants to sell.
The ASX only provides the platform for buyers and
sellers to meet, not a guarantee that there will
be a buyer or seller for shares. Institutional investors,
even in reasonably liquid shares, have to be careful
that other investors do not know they are selling
the shares because that can lower the share price.
- Inflation
Risk: When inflation is rising
and the company cannot match these rises through
increasing their prices, margins may have to be
cut. Also, where inflation is rising, workers may
demand an increase in their wages to keep up with
it. Increases in wages only fuels inflation, as
there is no increase in productivity for the extra
wage earned. As inflation is associated with higher
interest rates, some companies may be hit by lower
margins and higher interest payments.
Investment Management
Risk
There are risks associated with the management of the
Company’s investments:
- Past performance of the sub portfolios should not
necessarily be seen as being indicative of future performance
of the sub portfolios or the Portfolio.
- The performance of the Company is dependent on the
expertise and investment decisions of the Investment
Manager and its key personnel. There is no guarantee
that the Investment Manager will be able to retain its
key personnel or engage suitable replacements for them.
In particular, the continued involvement of Peter Spann
or an appropriate replacement in developing the investment
strategies of the Company is important to its success.
- Management of the investments will be dependent upon
the Investment Manager maintaining its Australian Financial
Services Licence.
- Continued investment will be dependent on the Investment
Manager remaining in operation and continuing to develop
the share portfolios or other similar offerings.
- If the Investment Manager must be replaced for any
reason, no suitable replacement may be available or
a change of manager may require a change in mandate
unacceptable to the Directors.
- The investment returns may differ from investment
industry benchmarks.
- Foreign currency fluctuations may affect the value
of investments.
- It may be argued that the inclusion of a performance
fee may encourage the Investment Manager to act in a
manner which adds to the risk and volatility associated
with the investment.
- The success and profitability of the Company in part
will depend upon the ability of the Investment Manager
to invest in well-managed companies which have the ability
to increase in value over time.
- Operational costs for the Company as a proportion
of total assets will be affected by the level of total
assets of the Company and by the level of acceptance
of the Share Offer, the Bonus Option Issue and any future
offer. Operational costs will represent a greater proportion
of total assets and may reduce the operating results
of the Company and accordingly the ability to make dividend
payments, if the Company only achieves no or few acceptances
under this Offer than if it secures a greater level
of acceptance.
- It is the intention of the Investment Manager to leverage
part of the portfolio. Leverage has already been used
in the purchase of instalment warrants comprising assets
in the portfolio. Leverage (or gearing) generally refers
to borrowing and its effect is to magnify the outcome
of an investment. This has the potential to be both
positive or negative. Leverage allows greater potential
return to the investor than otherwise would have been
available. However, the potential for loss is greater
because if the investment becomes worthless, not only
is that money lost, but the loan still needs to be repaid.
Risks of trading
call options
There are risks associated with writing call options as
part of the Company’s investments:
- Market
risks: The market value of options
is affected by a range of factors. They may fall in
price or become worthless at or before expiry. Changes
in the price of the underlying share may result in changes
to the price of an option, but the change can sometimes
be in a different direction or of a different magnitude
to the change in the price of the underlying share.
- Options
are a wasting asset: Options have
an expiry date and therefore a limited life. An option’s
time value erodes over its life and this accelerates
as an option nears expiry. This “time decay” usually
benefits options writers.
- Effect
of ‘Leverage’ or ‘Gearing’: The
initial outlay of capital may be small relative to the
total contract value with the result that options transactions
are ‘leveraged’ or ‘geared’. A relatively small market
movement may have a proportionately larger impact on
the value of the contract. This may work against the
Company as well as for the Company. The use of leverage
can lead to large losses as well as large gains.
- Illiquidity
and pricing relationships: Market
conditions (for example, illiquidity) may increase the
risk of loss by making it difficult or impossible to
effect transactions or close out existing positions.
Normal pricing relationships may not exist in certain
circumstances, for example, in periods of high buying
or selling pressure, high market volatility or illiquidity
in the market for a particular option series.
- Orderly
market powers: ASX and ACH have
broad powers under their Business Rules to take action
in the interests of maintaining fair and orderly markets
or of providing services in a fair and effective way.
These powers include the ability to suspend trading,
impose position limits or exercise limits and terminate
open contracts. In some circumstances, this may affect
the Company’s positions. Similarly, regulatory authorities
such as ASIC may give directions to ASX or ACH, for
example to suspend dealings in products.
- Trading
disputes: All options transactions
on ASX are subject to the rules, procedures, and practices
of ASX and ACH. Under the ASX Business Rules, certain
trading disputes between market participants (for example
errors involving traded prices that do not bear a relationship
to fair market or intrinsic value) may lead to ASX cancelling
or amending a trade. In these situations the client’s
consent is not required for the cancellation of a trade.
- Trading
facilities: As with all trading
facilities and systems, there is the possibility of
temporary disruption to, or failure of the systems used
in the options market, which may result in an order
not being executed according to the Company’s instructions
or not being executed at all. The Company’s ability
to recover certain losses may be subject to limits on
liability imposed by the system provider, ASX, ACH or
its broker.
- Covered
calls: The Covered Call or Buy/Write
strategy is regarded as one of the lower risk options
strategies that can be employed when trading in the
options market. Stock must be lodged with the ACH for
the purposes of this strategy to cover margin requirements.
There are still risks involved with the strategy. One
of those risks is the decline in the underlying share.
While the premium received for writing the call against
stock acts as a partial hedge, it will only protect
the Company from a certain amount of downside in the
physical stock. With this in mind a suitable capital
preservation and stop loss strategy may be implemented
to cover the Company in the event of a strong downward
movement in the share.There is also the risk that the
share price will move upward quickly and by a large
amount. This is the risk of opportunity cost where the
writer of the call benefits from the rally up to the
strike price of the call only. Any gains above that
cannot be realised while the call is in place.
At this point there is the opportunity to roll the call
position up to take part in the rally. However this
may have to be done at a cost as the price of the written
call will have increased in price with the price of
the underlying share. The amount by which this will
increase will depend on the strike price of the option
and also the delta of the option.
- Liquidity
risk: The Company may not always
be able to get its order filled in the market place
at all or at the price the Company wants.
General risks
A number of factors, some of which are beyond the control
of the Company, may affect the Company’s business:
- The future earnings of the Company and the value of
the investments of the Company may be affected by the
general economic climate, commodity prices, currency
movements, changing government policy and other factors
beyond the control of the Company including force majeure
events (such as fire, earthquake, storms, natural disasters,
wars, acts of terrorism, strikes or loss of supply of
electricity). As a result, no guarantee can be given
in respect of the future earnings of the Company or
the earnings and capital appreciation of the Company’s
investments.
- Variations in legislation and government policies
(including, in particular, taxation laws or policy)
generally could materially affect operating results
of the Company.
- Accounting Standards may change which may necessitate
a change in accounting policies in use by the Company.
- Even though the Shares will be listed on ASX, there
is no guarantee that there will be a ready market for
the sale of Shares. Many factors beyond the control
of the Company may affect the price of the Shares and
the market for the Shares on ASX, some of which are
discussed under the heading ‘Market Risk’ above.
- An outbreak of disease, an act of terrorism or an
outbreak of international hostilities may occur, adversely
affecting consumer confidence, customer spending and
share market performance. This may have an adverse impact
on the Company’s operating, financial and share price
performance.
- Investors are strongly advised to regard any investment
in the Company as a long term proposition and to be
aware that, as with any equity investment, substantial
fluctuations in the value of their investment may occur.
This list is not exhaustive. Potential investors should
seek professional advice.
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